GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stargard Szczeciński · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Stargard Szczeciński are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lech Poznań II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stargard Szczeciński hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Stargard Szczeciński holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stargard Szczeciński

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

9.1%

Stargard Szczeciński has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stargard SzczecińskiLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Lech Poznań IIDDWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Stargard SzczecińskiLech Poznań II
76.5Attack63.7
55.9Defence53.9
61.8Form55.9
63.3Power58.0
2.32xG1.53
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