Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stamford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stamford are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Bury Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Stamford hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern Central, while Stamford holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stamford
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
11.5%
Stamford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40