GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stal Mielec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Stal Mielec are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Polonia Bytom are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Stal Mielec hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the I Liga, while Stal Mielec holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stal Mielec

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

9.7%

Stal Mielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stal MielecDDWWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Polonia BytomDLWLL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Stal MielecPolonia Bytom
66.7Attack77.8
44.4Defence22.2
55.6Form44.4
59.1Power51.1
2.05xG1.56
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