Stal Mielecvs
Polonia Bytom
SCHEDULEDPoland · I Liga · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stal Mielec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stal Mielec are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Polonia Bytom are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Stal Mielec hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the I Liga, while Stal Mielec holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stal Mielec
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
9.7%
Stal Mielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80