GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stal Mielec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stal Mielec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Podbeskidzie are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stal Mielec hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the I Liga, while Stal Mielec holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stal Mielec

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Stal Mielec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stal MielecWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PodbeskidzieDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Stal MielecPodbeskidzie
66.7Attack66.7
44.4Defence33.3
55.6Form33.3
59.1Power48.3
1.96xG1.45
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