GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jarosław · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Stal Mielec are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Jarosław are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Jarosław hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Jarosław holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jarosław

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

8.4%

Jarosław has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stal MielecLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JarosławWDWWW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Stal MielecJarosław
47.6Attack80.0
42.9Defence40.0
33.3Form60.0
44.2Power60.3
1.75xG2.21
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