GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stal Brzeg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Stal Brzeg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sparta Katowice are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stal Brzeg hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the III Liga - Group 3, while Stal Brzeg holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stal Brzeg

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

11.8%

Stal Brzeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stal BrzegWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sparta KatowiceWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Stal BrzegSparta Katowice
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
74.3Power53.0
1.84xG1.16
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