Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stadeln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stadeln are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Erlangen are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stadeln hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stadeln holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stadeln
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
10.1%
Stadeln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/6.00