Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stadeln are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cham hold a 45.2-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while Cham holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cham
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
10.0%
Cham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00