GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bavois · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stade Payerne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bavois are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bavois hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (31.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bavois holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bavois

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Bavois has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stade PayerneLWDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BavoisWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stade PayerneBavois
33.3Attack38.9
20.0Defence55.6
33.3Form38.9
31.7Power46.5
1.32xG1.73
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