Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Stabæk W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lyn W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.7 against 52.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Toppserien, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60