Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stabaek are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sogndal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00