Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranheim · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Stabaek are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ranheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ranheim hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ranheim holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ranheim
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
14.9%
Ranheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20