Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Stabaek are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lyn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.5% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
80.5%
Model confidence
80.5%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40