Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Stabaek are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while hodd are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
77.2%
Model confidence
9.2%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40