Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Stabaek are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Haugesund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80