Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Stabaek are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Egersund are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
9.0%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60