Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Stabaek are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Asane are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.7% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
87.7%
Model confidence
87.7%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20