St. Truidenvs
Lommel United
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
St. Truiden are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lommel United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Truiden hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Jupiler Pro League, while St. Truiden holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Truiden
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
12.1%
St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60