GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Pauli II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

St. Pauli II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Verden 04 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Pauli II hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (71.4 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while St. Pauli II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Pauli II

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

St. Pauli II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Pauli IIWLDDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Verden 04LWDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
St. Pauli IIVerden 04
100.0Attack83.3
55.6Defence50.0
77.8Form50.0
71.4Power59.3
2.30xG1.61
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