St Patrick's Athl.vs
Shamrock Rovers
SCHEDULEDIreland · FAI Cup · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
St Patrick's Athl. are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shamrock Rovers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shamrock Rovers hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the FAI Cup, while St Patrick's Athl. holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
10.2%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20