GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 7/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

St Patrick's Athl. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dundalk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and St Patrick's Athl. hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Premier Division, while St Patrick's Athl. holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St Patrick's Athl.

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St Patrick's Athl.WLDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DundalkWLLLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
53.1Attack51.9
71.6Defence49.4
58.0Form45.7
61.0Power50.5
1.78xG0.78
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