St Patrick's Athl.vs
Dundalk
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 2/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
St Patrick's Athl. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dundalk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and St Patrick's Athl. hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Premier Division, while St Patrick's Athl. holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40