St Patrick's Athl.vs
Derry City
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 3/16/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
St Patrick's Athl. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Derry City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St Patrick's Athl. hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Premier Division, while St Patrick's Athl. holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60