ST Mirrenvs
East Kilbride
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
ST Mirren are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while East Kilbride are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Mirren hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (77.4 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the League Cup, while ST Mirren holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00