ST Mirrenvs
Dunfermline
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
ST Mirren are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dunfermline are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Mirren hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (77.4 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the League Cup, while ST Mirren holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00