GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/17/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Louis City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

St. Louis City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.1% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Louis City

Probability

76.1%

Model confidence

76.1%

St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis CityWDWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Kansas CityLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St. Louis CitySporting Kansas City
47.4Attack31.6
56.1Defence15.8
50.9Form24.6
53.1Power27.5
2.73xG0.71
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