St. Louis Cityvs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
St. Louis City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40