GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Louis City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis CityLDDWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
San Jose EarthquakesWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
St. Louis CitySan Jose Earthquakes
47.4Attack66.7
56.1Defence52.6
50.9Form57.9
53.1Power58.9
1.43xG1.64
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