St. Louis Cityvs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
St. Louis City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60