GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/2/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Louis City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Real Salt Lake are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.1 against 54.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Louis City

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis CityWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real Salt LakeLLWDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
St. Louis CityReal Salt Lake
47.4Attack55.6
56.1Defence51.9
50.9Form51.9
53.1Power54.6
1.47xG1.35
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