GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Louis City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colorado Rapids are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Louis City

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis CityWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Colorado RapidsWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
St. Louis CityColorado Rapids
47.4Attack50.9
56.1Defence56.1
50.9Form43.9
53.1Power50.7
1.36xG1.22
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