St. Louis Cityvs
Austin
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
St. Louis City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Austin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80