GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St. Louis City II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Portland Timbers II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while Portland Timbers II holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers II

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

14.4%

Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis City IILLLLD

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Timbers IIDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
St. Louis City IIPortland Timbers II
51.5Attack42.4
50.0Defence63.6
47.0Form63.6
50.2Power58.4
1.20xG1.23
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