GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ST Johnstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ST Johnstone are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Johnstone hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Premiership, while ST Johnstone holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ST Johnstone

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

ST Johnstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ST JohnstoneDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KilmarnockDWWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power23.7
1.99xG1.33
View match centre →