GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ST Johnstone · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ST Johnstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while East Fife are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and East Fife hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the League Cup, while ST Johnstone holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ST Johnstone

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

35.2%

ST Johnstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ST JohnstoneLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
East FifeWWDDD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ST JohnstoneEast Fife
50.0Attack58.3
83.3Defence75.0
58.3Form66.7
63.5Power68.0
1.36xG1.28
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