St George Willawongvs
Logan Lightning
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland Premier League · 5/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Logan Lightning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
St George Willawong are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Logan Lightning are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Logan Lightning hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (23.3 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the Queensland Premier League, while Logan Lightning holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Logan Lightning
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Logan Lightning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40