St George Willawongvs
Caboolture
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland Premier League · 7/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caboolture · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
St George Willawong are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Caboolture are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Caboolture hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (23.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Queensland Premier League, while Caboolture holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caboolture
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
9.2%
Caboolture has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80