GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 7/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caboolture · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

St George Willawong are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Caboolture are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Caboolture hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (23.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Queensland Premier League, while Caboolture holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caboolture

Probability

77.1%

Model confidence

9.2%

Caboolture has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St George WillawongLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CabooltureLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St George WillawongCaboolture
19.7Attack68.2
21.2Defence42.4
19.7Form47.0
23.3Power53.1
1.06xG3.31
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