St. George Saintsvs
UNSW
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 2/28/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNSW · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
St. George Saints are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UNSW are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UNSW hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the New South Wales NPL, while UNSW holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UNSW
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
UNSW has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80