GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/1/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SD Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. George Saints are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while SD Raiders are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SD Raiders hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the New South Wales NPL, while SD Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SD Raiders

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

SD Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. George SaintsDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SD RaidersWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St. George SaintsSD Raiders
32.1Attack50.0
41.7Defence44.0
28.6Form45.2
36.1Power48.1
1.13xG1.68
View match centre →