GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 4/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Albans Saints are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while South Melbourne are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Melbourne

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Albans SaintsWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
South MelbourneLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
St. Albans SaintsSouth Melbourne
38.9Attack52.8
41.7Defence54.2
38.9Form56.9
42.3Power54.7
1.12xG1.78
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