GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 6/26/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Albans Saints are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Melbourne City II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne City II hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Victoria NPL, while Melbourne City II holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne City II

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Melbourne City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Albans SaintsWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne City IILLWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
St. Albans SaintsMelbourne City II
38.9Attack56.5
41.7Defence56.5
38.9Form43.5
42.3Power50.9
1.08xG1.88
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