GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 8/14/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Albans Saints · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St. Albans Saints are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bentleigh Greens are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Albans Saints hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Victoria NPL, while St. Albans Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Albans Saints

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

12.4%

St. Albans Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Albans SaintsLWDDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Bentleigh GreensDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
St. Albans SaintsBentleigh Greens
39.1Attack29.0
40.6Defence33.3
39.1Form29.0
42.2Power32.3
1.75xG0.93
View match centre →