SpVgg Greuther Fürthvs
1. FC Nürnberg
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1. FC Nürnberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SpVgg Greuther Furth are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Nurnberg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Nurnberg hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the 2. Bundesliga, while FC Nurnberg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
1. FC Nürnberg
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
12.2%
1. FC Nürnberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20