GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 8/14/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malvern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Springvale are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Malvern are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Malvern holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malvern

Probability

73.5%

Model confidence

10.2%

Malvern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpringvaleWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MalvernDWWWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SpringvaleMalvern
39.1Attack81.2
43.5Defence60.9
42.0Form72.5
43.2Power70.9
0.92xG2.75
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