GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 4/24/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Springvale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Springvale are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kingston City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Springvale hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Springvale holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Springvale

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

10.6%

Springvale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpringvaleLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kingston CityLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SpringvaleKingston City
40.3Attack44.4
38.9Defence27.8
40.3Form36.1
41.6Power37.8
1.92xG1.49
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