GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 7/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Italiano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Villa San Carlos are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.8% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Italiano

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

24.8%

Sportivo Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo ItalianoWDDLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Villa San CarlosDWDDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo ItalianoVilla San Carlos
36.8Attack32.2
74.7Defence59.8
56.3Form33.3
58.0Power43.4
1.01xG0.43
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