GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 7/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Italiano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Pilar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.1% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Sportivo Italiano holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Italiano

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

26.1%

Sportivo Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo ItalianoDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real PilarDDWLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo ItalianoReal Pilar
36.8Attack37.9
74.7Defence64.4
56.3Form50.6
58.0Power53.6
0.86xG0.52
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