GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sportivo Carapeguá are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fernando De La Mora are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 44.8 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Division Intermedia, favouring a draw with 14.4% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.4%

Model confidence

14.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo CarapeguáWLWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Fernando De La MoraDDWDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo CarapeguáFernando De La Mora
39.2Attack37.3
43.1Defence51.0
43.1Form39.2
44.8Power45.5
1.24xG1.16
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