GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 4/27/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Santani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sportivo Carapeguá are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Deportivo Santani are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Santani hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Division Intermedia, while Deportivo Santani holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Santani

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Deportivo Santani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo CarapeguáWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo SantaniLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo CarapeguáDeportivo Santani
40.7Attack50.0
46.3Defence70.4
46.3Form61.1
47.1Power60.9
0.74xG1.53
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