GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/24/2026, 11:35:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Belgrano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Belgrano are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atletico Escobar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while Sportivo Belgrano holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Belgrano

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Sportivo Belgrano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo BelgranoDDDDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico EscobarWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo BelgranoAtletico Escobar
34.9Attack34.9
81.0Defence49.2
50.8Form41.3
56.8Power44.5
1.19xG0.42
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