Sportivo Belgranovs9 de Julio Rafaela

Sportivo Belgrano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while 9 de Julio Rafaela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while Sportivo Belgrano holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.